Simulated from published collation. Most boxes land below average; chase cards pull the mean up.
The average box ($312) is $8.52 above a typical box ($304) — 3%of the EV comes from above-median outcomes you probably won't see.
Below box cost
99%
lose money on resale
At or above cost
1%
break even or profit
Monte Carlo distribution of total card value per box. Green bars are at or above sealed cost; rose bars are below.
Dominaria Remastered collector boosterbox TCG low $545, expected value $312, median box $304, 1% break-even, −43% vs sealed. Methodology · JSON
Daily snapshots after release · box EV vs sealed price
EV +$14.21 (4.8%) · Box +$76.27 (16.3%) over 3m · ROI −6.3%
Sealed vs singles and pack vs box economics for this set.
Should you buy a sealed box or individual packs? EV per pack is the same either way; the question is what you pay per pack.
The box is the better deal per pack ($45.42 vs $51.29 listing). Still a losing bet on average at −43% return.
Compare chasing a card by opening boxes vs buying it outright at today's price.
You'd spend about $1,635 opening boxes for a coin-flip at Vampiric Tutor, vs $115 to buy it now.
Treatment odds from corrected collation. Tap a row for card-level detail.
Expected cards per box and the odds of pulling at least one, by Booster Fun treatment. “1 in N” is per box, not a percentage.
| Treatment | Expected / box | P(≥1 / box) | 1 in N boxes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | 161.88 cards | 100.0% | Every time |
| Borderless | 18.12 cards | 100.0% | 1 in 2 |
All chase pull rates · Tap a treatment for odds and top cards in this set.
Reference